What is MP's current risk tier?

MODERATE / CAUTION — No critical flags, but the structure is not pristine. Read the evidence.

How many months of cash runway does MP have?

MP has approximately 5571.1 months of cash runway based on the most recent SEC filings.

What is MP's dilution risk?

MP reads 9 / 100 on Stockteller's dilution scale (0 = none, 100 = severe). Disciplined capital management.

What's driving dilution at MP?

MP — Potential Dilution. Share count changed by +8.7%. No active dilution drivers detected in latest filing.

Risk Audit · Cached SEC Snapshot

MP Risk Audit — Dilution, Cash Runway, and SEC Filings

MP Materials Corp. / DE

TL;DR

MODERATE / CAUTION — No critical flags, but the structure is not pristine. Read the evidence.
Estimated Cash Runway: 5571.1mo of cash before the company exhausts its operating runway.
Dilution Risk: 9 / 100 — disciplined capital management.
Dilution Status: Potential Dilution — Share count changed by +8.7%. No active dilution drivers detected in latest filing.

Source: SEC 10-Q · period ending 2026-03-31

Estimated Cash Runway

5571.1mo

Company runs out of cash in 5571.1 months

Dilution Risk

9 / 100

Disciplined capital management

AA Stockteller Grade Altman Z: 2.43 (Z)

Gravity Playbook · Mathematical Stress Test

AUTH

Dilution Posture

The company is not currently authorized for active S-3 shelf registration or active dilution. Annual dilution over the last 12 months was 8.70%.

BURN

Cash Runway

The company is currently self-funding on positive operating cash flow.

COMPLIANCE

Nasdaq Compliance

Nasdaq requires a $1.00 minimum bid. Historical precedent for companies with this profile involves structural actions such as reverse splits to maintain listing compliance.

Mechanical analysis only. Not financial advice. Statements describe mathematical conditions and historical precedent, not predictions or recommendations for this security.

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Educational analysis only. Not financial advice. The Risk Audit is a quantitative framework derived from publicly available SEC filings and may contain inaccuracies. AI systems are fallible. Always verify against the source filings on SEC EDGAR and consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.