Risk Audit · Cached SEC Snapshot
MARA Risk Audit — Dilution, Cash Runway, and SEC Filings
MARA Holdings, Inc. · Finance
TL;DR
- MODERATE / CAUTION — No fatal flags, but the structure is not pristine. Read the evidence.
- Doomsday Clock: 24.9mo of cash before the company exhausts its operating runway.
- Dilution Risk: 10 / 100 — disciplined capital management.
- Dilution Status: Potential Dilution — Share count changed by +10.0%. No active dilution drivers detected in latest filing.
Doomsday Clock
24.9mo
Company runs out of cash in 24.9 months
Dilution Risk
10 / 100
Disciplined capital management
C
Stockteller Grade
Altman Z: 0.19
Gravity Playbook · Mathematical Stress Test
AUTH
Dilution Posture: No Active Shelf Registration
The company is not authorized for active share dilution via an S-3 shelf registration. There is no current authorization for capital raises through this mechanism.
BURN
Cash Runway: 24.9 Months Remaining
Based on current cash burn rates, the company's cash reserves are mathematically depleted in approximately 24.9 months.
COMPLIANCE
Nasdaq Compliance: Bid Price Requirement
Nasdaq requires a $1.00 minimum bid. Historical precedent for companies with this profile involves structural actions such as reverse splits to maintain listing compliance.
Mechanical analysis only. Not financial advice. Statements describe mathematical conditions and historical precedent, not predictions or recommendations for this security.
Educational analysis only. Not financial advice. The Risk Audit is a quantitative framework derived from publicly available SEC filings and may contain inaccuracies. AI systems are fallible. Always verify against the source filings on
SEC EDGAR
and consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.