What is AXTI's current risk tier?

MODERATE / CAUTION — No fatal flags, but the structure is not pristine. Read the evidence.

How many months of cash runway does AXTI have?

AXTI has approximately 10.5 months of cash runway based on the most recent SEC filings.

What is AXTI's dilution risk?

AXTI reads 22 / 100 on Stockteller's dilution scale (0 = none, 100 = severe). Active shareholder dilution detected.

What's driving dilution at AXTI?

AXTI — Potential Dilution. Share count changed by +21.9%. No active dilution drivers detected in latest filing.

Risk Audit · Cached SEC Snapshot

AXTI Risk Audit — Dilution, Cash Runway, and SEC Filings

AXT INC · Technology

TL;DR

MODERATE / CAUTION — No fatal flags, but the structure is not pristine. Read the evidence.
Doomsday Clock: 10.5mo of cash before the company exhausts its operating runway.
Dilution Risk: 22 / 100 — company is actively issuing new shares.
Dilution Status: Potential Dilution — Share count changed by +21.9%. No active dilution drivers detected in latest filing.

Doomsday Clock

10.5mo

Company runs out of cash in 10.5 months

Dilution Risk

22 / 100

Company actively issuing new shares

BBB Stockteller Grade Altman Z: 4.47 (Z'')

Gravity Playbook · Mathematical Stress Test

AUTH

Dilution Authorization

The company has an active S-3 shelf registration, authorizing future equity offerings. Current mechanics indicate no active dilution, but the company is authorized to dilute up to 21.87% annually.

BURN

Cash Burn Rate

Current mechanics indicate the company's cash runway is mathematically depleted in approximately 10.46 months based on current burn rates.

COMPLIANCE

Nasdaq Compliance

Nasdaq requires a $1.00 minimum bid. Historical precedent for companies with this profile involves structural actions such as reverse splits to maintain listing compliance.

Mechanical analysis only. Not financial advice. Statements describe mathematical conditions and historical precedent, not predictions or recommendations for this security.

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Educational analysis only. Not financial advice. The Risk Audit is a quantitative framework derived from publicly available SEC filings and may contain inaccuracies. AI systems are fallible. Always verify against the source filings on SEC EDGAR and consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.