What is AAOI's current risk tier?

MODERATE / CAUTION — No fatal flags, but the structure is not pristine. Read the evidence.

How many months of cash runway does AAOI have?

AAOI has approximately 61.8 months of cash runway based on the most recent SEC filings.

What is AAOI's dilution risk score?

AAOI has a dilution risk score of 48 / 100. Active heavy dilution detected.

What's driving dilution at AAOI?

AAOI — High Dilution Risk. Share count changed by +48.4%. No active dilution drivers detected in latest filing.

Risk Audit · Cached SEC Snapshot

AAOI Risk Audit — Dilution, Cash Runway, and SEC Filings

APPLIED OPTOELECTRONICS, INC. · Technology

TL;DR

MODERATE / CAUTION — No fatal flags, but the structure is not pristine. Read the evidence.
Doomsday Clock: 61.8mo of cash before the company exhausts its operating runway.
Dilution Risk: 48 / 100 — heavy active dilution; shareholders likely diluted.
Dilution Status: High Dilution Risk — Share count changed by +48.4%. No active dilution drivers detected in latest filing.

Doomsday Clock

61.8mo

Company runs out of cash in 61.8 months

Dilution Risk

48 / 100

High dilution — shareholders likely diluted

BB Stockteller Grade Altman Z: 4.49 (Z'')

Gravity Playbook · Mathematical Stress Test

AUTH

Dilution Posture

The company is not authorized for active S-3 shelf registration or active at-the-market (ATM) equity offerings. No immediate share dilution is indicated by current filings.

BURN

Cash Runway

Current mechanics indicate the company is mathematically depleted of cash in approximately 61.8 months based on current burn rate.

COMPLIANCE

Nasdaq Compliance

Nasdaq requires a $1.00 minimum bid. Historical precedent for companies with this profile involves structural actions such as reverse splits to maintain listing compliance.

Mechanical analysis only. Not financial advice. Statements describe mathematical conditions and historical precedent, not predictions or recommendations for this security.

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Educational analysis only. Not financial advice. The Risk Audit is a quantitative framework derived from publicly available SEC filings and may contain inaccuracies. AI systems are fallible. Always verify against the source filings on SEC EDGAR and consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.